META
Open-source Llama models powering agentic AI ecosystem; massive internal AI agent deployment.
Score timeline
Held position barely positive (+2%), so no winner-protection trigger. Thesis remains constructive and risk quality is high, but Win-Probability of 52 and flat momentum suggest no urgency to add. Stock is consolidating well below highs without a Meta-specific catalyst. Hold size, don't rotate out, but not core conviction at current setup.
Meta is a quality held long with modest gains and a constructive thesis, but Win-Probability is only middling at 52 and the stock has lost technical momentum, sitting well below highs. Not a candidate to trim — fundamentals and risk quality remain strong — but no case to add either. Solid core hold at constructive-not-core level.
Held position down 17%, which would normally trigger trim consideration, but only one specialist (momentum/win_prob) signals deterioration — thesis remains bull at 75th percentile, risk_quality strong at 78, and PE 22x is reasonable. Catalyst is supportive sector-wide. Not enough specialist convergence to cut. Hold and let the AI capex cycle play out, but conviction tempered by lack of stock-specific catalyst and flat momentum.
Held position barely underwater (-0.56%), not a loser to cut. Thesis remains bull at 75th percentile and quality is high (78), but Win-Probability is only 52 and momentum has rolled over. No active breakdown signal — three of four specialists are constructive or neutral. Hold the position but don't add; conviction in the constructive-but-not-core band reflects the lack of near-term catalyst urgency.
Held long with negligible PnL (-0.5%). Thesis remains intact and risk quality is high, but Win-Probability specialist sees pulled-back chart with flat momentum and no direct catalyst. Not a winner to protect nor a loser to cut — hold at constructive but non-core conviction. Stock has 23% upside to prior high if AI capex narrative reasserts.
META held with minimal PnL drag (-0.5%). Thesis remains intact with concrete AI execution catalysts (7,000 staff AI task force, Irish redundancies signal aggressive pivot). Win-prob at 62 reflects reasonable valuation at 22x PE. Not a winner to protect aggressively but not a loser to cut — hold the position with constructive conviction.
Held position essentially flat (-0.5%) with constructive thesis but tepid momentum and a regulatory distraction. Win-Prob acknowledges value at 22x PE but sees slow recovery. Not a winner to protect aggressively, not a loser to cut. Hold at moderate conviction.
Held position essentially flat since entry with constructive thesis and direct catalyst on Meta AI agentic capabilities. Win-probability moderate at 62 given recovery from 23% off highs takes time. Not a winner to protect aggressively, not a loser to cut. Hold the position; thesis intact, valuation reasonable for mega-cap.
Held position barely underwater (-2%). Thesis remains intact with AI monetization and ad resilience, win-prob constructive at 62, and catalyst confirms aggressive AI capital reallocation. Momentum is soft but no breakdown signal across specialists. Hold the position; don't add given mediocre momentum and cloud concentration.
Held position essentially flat (-1.5%), so neither protect-winner nor cut-loser rules trigger. Thesis is solid bull at 75th percentile and risk_quality high at 78. Win-prob moderate at 62 with valuation supportive. Momentum is the concern but no specialist signals breakdown. Hold and let thesis play out.
Held position essentially flat from entry. Thesis remains intact with bull alignment and supportive AI ad-monetization catalysts. Win-Probability at 62 reflects valuation appeal but acknowledges recovery takes time. Momentum is the concern at 32 — stock is well off highs. Not a winner to protect aggressively nor a loser to cut. Maintain hold-size conviction.
Held position essentially flat (-0.88%). Thesis remains constructive at 75th percentile with reasonable PE for mega-cap AI platform. Win-prob 62 acceptable. Momentum is the soft spot but no specialist signals breakdown. Hold at moderate conviction — not a winner to protect aggressively, not a loser to cut.
META has constructive thesis and attractive valuation but momentum is middling and stock is well off highs. Held with essentially flat PnL — no winner to protect, no loser to cut. Solid hold but not core conviction in this batch.
META offers attractive valuation with room to run, but momentum is muted (46) and the position is roughly flat since entry. Thesis and risk_quality both solid. Hold the existing position; not a candidate for adding given concentration and lack of near-term catalyst convergence.
Constructive bull setup with cheap valuation and AI monetization story intact, but momentum has rolled over and stock is well off highs. Held position essentially flat — no urgency to act either way. Hold at moderate conviction.
META is a constructive hold but no longer a breakout name — it's 23% off the high and momentum has faded. Thesis and risk quality remain solid and the AI monetization story is intact with fresh product news. Not a trim candidate (pnl barely positive, no specialist breakdown), but not a top-conviction add either. Hold at current weight.
Held position essentially flat. Fundamentals and valuation remain attractive but momentum is soft and catalysts are indirect. No breakdown signal warrants trim, but no add either given cloud concentration. Maintain core position.
Held position slightly underwater (-2%) but thesis intact: cheap PE, strong FCF, AI monetization via Advantage+. Momentum weak but not broken. No specialist signaling breakdown — hold. Not a candidate to add given cloud-platform concentration.
Held position essentially flat (-1.7%). Thesis and valuation are constructive but momentum has rolled over and it's 23% below highs. Hold size — no breakdown signal warranting exit, but not adding into cloud concentration with weak technicals.
META is the dead-money pattern flagged in recent learnings: high quality, reasonable thesis, but momentum 44 and PnL essentially flat while peers run. Catalyst is genuinely thesis-confirming (agentic shopping bot), so don't exit, but size down vs other winners. Hold-size, not core.
META is the dead-money case from our learnings — high quality, reasonable thesis, but momentum=40 and PnL flat since entry. Catalyst is real (agentic shopping bot) but stock isn't responding. Hold at reduced conviction rather than full weight; do not add. If momentum doesn't inflect on next earnings, trim candidate.
META is held flat (-0.9%) with weak momentum (41) and trading 30% below 52wk high. Recent learnings explicitly flagged META as dead money in a momentum tape when catalyst stays soft. Catalyst is decent but not differentiated. Hold at current weight, do not add. Size-down candidate if momentum doesn't inflect.
Recent learnings explicitly flag META as dead-money risk in a momentum tape — high quality but weak near-term catalyst and momentum. Position is essentially flat since entry. Hold but at reduced conviction; would size down rather than add. Not a trim candidate yet given quality.
META is held but slightly underwater with weak momentum (38) and no Meta-specific catalyst — exactly the 'dead money in momentum tape' pattern flagged in recent learnings. Cheap PE and quality fundamentals warrant holding, but size down rather than full weight. Conviction reflects hold-but-trim-eligible status; not actively breaking down enough to exit.
META held position with constructive thesis and reasonable valuation but softer momentum and only moderate win probability (58). Catalyst flow is indirect. Hold size appropriate; no case to add given cloud concentration, no case to trim given fundamentals intact.
META shows conflicting signals: performance_pct says 48 but pnl_since_entry reads -0.76 which is inconsistent — treating as a data quirk and weighting the performance percentile. Thesis solid, win-prob mediocre at 58, momentum weak. Hold existing exposure but do not add given cloud concentration. Not a conviction add candidate today.
Thesis and win-probability both constructive, with direct Q1 earnings call confirming AI agents/LLM recommenders as core growth. Momentum percentile low (18) suggests consolidation. Pnl_since_entry field shows -0.76 which conflicts with performance_pct=48 and is treated as a data artifact. Hold at current weight; cloud concentration prevents adding.
Held META with constructive thesis and win-probability. The pnl_since_entry field (-0.76) conflicts with performance_pct=71 and bullish specialist commentary citing positive 5d momentum and reasonable valuation — treating as data artifact rather than evidence of breakdown. Three of four specialists constructive; momentum percentile weak but win-prob agent sees continuation setup. Hold.
Held position down 24% from entry — that's the cut-loser threshold, but specialists are not signaling deterioration. Thesis still bull at 75th percentile, win-prob constructive at 68, fresh AWS catalyst confirms AI infra spend thesis. Only one specialist (momentum) is weak. Hold rather than trim — give the thesis room to work, but don't add given concentration and underwater PnL.
Held position up 16.5% with constructive Win-Prob (68) and reasonable valuation. Negative near-term catalysts (20M user loss, AR/VR burn) create headwinds but don't break the thesis. Per principle 1, do not reduce a winner without three specialist breakdown signals — only catalyst is negative. Hold.
META up nearly 17% since entry with constructive win-prob (68) and 18% headroom to prior highs. Catalyst is indirect but sector-supportive. Hold the winner at current weight; concentration prevents adding.
Held position up 18% with constructive setup across all four specialists. Unlike GOOGL, META is below 52wk highs so win-probability is healthier. Per protect-winners principle, conviction stays well above 75. Hold size; concentration prevents adding.
Held winner up 17.5% with the highest win-probability in the batch and constructive setup (~18% to prior highs, PE 28.7 reasonable). China Manus block is a headwind but offset by AWS Graviton agentic AI deal. Three of four specialists constructive. Hold size; no rotation justified.
Held winner up 17.5% with directly thesis-aligned multibillion-dollar AWS Graviton5 deal confirmed across multiple sources. All four specialists supportive. Run the winner; concentration prevents adding but no reason to trim.
Held winner up 17.5% with three of four specialists constructive. Catalyst supportive via AWS agentic AI deal. Momentum softer than GOOGL but thesis intact. Hold the winner; sector concentration prevents adding.
META is a solid held winner up ~15% with constructive technicals and AI ad-efficiency payoff. Thesis percentile moderate (70) but win-probability and performance support protecting the position. Hold at current weight — don't add given sector concentration.
Held winner up ~15% with constructive specialist views across the board. Momentum is only 50 and catalysts are indirect rather than direct, so not a top-tier add candidate, but nothing signals breakdown. Protect-winner principle applies — hold at current weight.
Meta up 17.7% since entry with constructive specialist view across the board. Thesis percentile moderate at 70 but Win-Probability and performance justify protecting the position. No breakdown signals — hold at current size, do not add given sector concentration.