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BULL ai-chips NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA

97 +11 all-time
Last scored 2026-05-29

Dominant GPU supplier for AI training and inference; agentic AI multiplies compute demand per task.

Reading — Higher scores = stronger evidence of agentic AI tailwinds benefiting this company.
§ 01 — Score History
100
Ceiling
97
Latest
0
Floor
§ 02 — Reasoning

Score timeline

2026-05-29 97 -1

NVDA remains the AI infrastructure anchor with top thesis percentile and exceptional T1/T2 catalyst breadth today (Blackwell, IREN $3.6B, SoftBank sovereign cloud, 20X supply demand). Win_prob 68 is moderate but reflects mature setup not breakdown. Held position up modestly - protect and let it work. No add given concentration, but conviction stays high.

2026-05-28 98 0

NVDA tops the thesis ranking at 100 with three direct catalyst articles today (Vera CPU $200B TAM, analyst upgrade, Lisa Su collision piece). Win-prob 68 is solid, risk_quality 75 strong for a mega-cap. Held position modestly in the green. This is the anchor of the AI infrastructure thesis — protect it. Concentration is the sizer's problem, not mine.

2026-05-27 98 +1

Nvidia sits at the top of the thesis distribution with a dense cluster of direct catalysts today (IREN Blackwell $1.6B, India 700K GPUs, SoftBank GPU cloud, ePlus, Vera CPU). Win-Prob 68 modest because of recent consolidation near $236 highs, but bull case intact. Already held — protect core position. Sizing decisions sit with the Portfolio Sizer; my job is to register top-tier conviction.

2026-05-26 97 -2

NVDA tops the batch on thesis (100th percentile) with the strongest, most direct catalyst cluster: $2B CoreWeave commitment, Jensen-driven peer signals, Quantum Center expansion. Win-prob 68 is moderate but reflects valuation digestion near 52w high, not thesis breakdown. Held at +5.9% with all four specialists constructive on fundamentals; concentration is a sizer problem, not a conviction problem. Protect the core.

2026-05-25 99 0

NVDA is the anchor AI infrastructure name with the strongest thesis percentile in the batch and multiple direct catalyst headlines (BofA $350 PT, SoftBank GPU cloud, Fortinet integration). Win-probability of 68 is solid but not extreme, and momentum is consolidating. Held position only +7% so not yet a runaway winner, but thesis convergence is overwhelming. Hold and let sizer manage concentration.

2026-05-24 99 0

NVDA sits at the top of the thesis ranking with win-probability 72 and a strong catalyst stack (record results, multiple direct articles, partnership news). Held position up ~7% from entry — not a runaway winner but constructive. The China Hopper headwind is real but the specialists net positive. This is the core AI infrastructure name; protect it at high conviction. Sizing concerns are for the Portfolio Sizer, not me.

2026-05-23 99 0

NVDA is the core AI infrastructure name with top-percentile thesis and a dense cluster of direct catalysts today (SpaceX/Anthropic 220k GPU deal, Yum partnership, Blackwell scale). Win-probability solid at 72, performance constructive. This is exactly the named-partnership convergence pattern our learnings flagged as a winner. Hold and protect; sizing is for the Portfolio Sizer.

2026-05-22 99 0

NVDA is the cleanest expression of the AI infrastructure thesis in the batch. Thesis at 100th percentile, catalyst at 95 with concrete dollar-attached news (record revenue, Nebius investment, Vera Rubin unveil), win-probability constructive at 72. Held position modestly up. This is a core protect-the-winner name — sizing concentration is a Portfolio Sizer concern, not a conviction concern.

2026-05-21 99 0

NVDA is the anchor of the fund. Thesis at 100, catalyst at 95 with a blowout print and 150% dividend boost, win-probability constructive at 72. Near 52wk high with Blackwell ramp accelerating. This is the cleanest convergence in the batch. Hold and let it run; sizing decisions belong to the Portfolio Sizer.

2026-05-20 99 0

NVDA is the flagship AI infrastructure name with a landmark convergence today: earnings beat, Foxconn high-end GPU partnership, Red Hat AI Factory upgrade, Vera CPU shipments tied to agentic AI. Thesis at 100th percentile, catalyst at 95, held +11.4%. Win-prob 72 is constructive. This is the core position — protect it. Concentration is a sizer concern, not a conviction concern.

2026-05-19 99 0

NVDA is the anchor AI infrastructure name with top-decile thesis ranking, strong win-probability, and concrete catalyst flow (Dell AI Factory expansion, Morgan Stanley Blackwell endorsement). Position is up 10% with all four specialists constructive. Protect this winner - hold at current weight, do not add given concentration but do not trim a confirmed leader.

2026-05-18 99 +1

NVDA tops the watchlist on thesis with constructive win-probability and a buyable dip from 52wk highs. Held +9.4% with Blackwell ramp and hyperscaler capex still inflecting. Risk agent flags concentration but that's a sizer concern, not a conviction one. Protect this core winner.

2026-05-17 98 -1

NVDA tops the batch on thesis (100), has strong momentum (79), and four+ direct AI catalysts today (CoreWeave, Argentum $2.5B, Jane Street liquid-cooled). Held position up ~12% with breakout setup intact. Quintessential winner to protect. Concentration is a sizer problem, not a conviction problem.

2026-05-16 99 0

NVDA is the cleanest setup in the batch: top-of-watchlist thesis, near-ATH breakout with fundamental backing, multiple direct enterprise AI catalysts today (SAP, Orbital ecosystem, reference architectures), and held position up 12%. Win-prob 74 and risk_quality 75 both supportive. Protect this winner; concentration is a sizer-agent concern, not a conviction concern.

2026-05-15 99 0

NVDA is the highest-conviction name in this batch: top thesis percentile, strong momentum, near-ATH breakout, +13% since entry, and multiple direct catalyst confirmations (Span, SAP, Inception). Win-prob 74 is solid. Protect the winner — Portfolio Sizer can manage concentration separately.

2026-05-14 99 +1

Top thesis percentile, near-ATH breakout, just delivered earnings beat with Blackwell ramp confirmed by 6+ articles. Held at +16.6% with all four specialists constructive. Highest conviction in batch — this is the core AI infrastructure exposure. Sizing is a portfolio-construction issue, not a conviction one.

2026-05-13 98 0

NVDA is the textbook protect-winner setup: top thesis percentile, near 52wk high breakout, strong momentum (88), positive PnL, and four-vector catalyst confirmation across automotive/security/finance/infra. Win-prob 74 is solid. Risk agent only constrains adding, not holding. Core position — hold and let it run.

2026-05-12 98 0

NVDA is the cleanest convergence in the batch: top thesis percentile, strong win probability, multiple direct company-specific catalysts (Blackwell ramp, $40B equity investments, agentic AI Nokia stake, pre-earnings setup), and price at 52wk highs. +8% since entry with momentum continuing. Risk agent only flags concentration which prevents adding, not holding. Protect this winner — it's the core AI infrastructure name.

2026-05-11 98 -1

NVDA is the cleanest convergence in the book: top thesis percentile, near-ATH breakout, exceptional company-specific catalysts (IREN stake, ServiceNow partnership, 8.4% rally pre-earnings), and momentum at 95. Win-probability 74 is solid; PE 44 is justified by Blackwell ramp. Position already up 10% since entry — protect this winner. Concentration prevents adding, but conviction should reflect that this is the best stock in the batch.

2026-05-10 99 +1

NVDA is the cleanest AI infrastructure name with top-decile thesis, exceptional catalyst breadth (Blackwell ramp, $40B equity deals, optical strategy), and momentum at 96. Held at 8.3% with positive PnL. Risk agent flags concentration so don't add, but conviction stays at the top of the batch. Protect this winner.

2026-05-09 98 -1

NVDA is the cleanest convergence in the batch: top-percentile thesis, exceptional named catalyst flow (IREN $2.1B, Corning partnership, Barron's breakout call), 94 momentum, and held at +6.9%. Win-prob only 65 due to size near highs but every other dimension is firing. Risk agent correctly flags concentration so no add, but conviction stays top-of-book. Protect.

2026-05-08 99 +1

NVDA is the cleanest convergence in the batch: top-percentile thesis, exceptional same-day catalyst density (6+ direct articles), momentum at 96, and the position is profitable. Risk agent flags concentration which prevents adding, but absolutely does not justify trimming the franchise winner. Hold at top conviction.

2026-05-07 98 +2

NVDA is the top thesis-ranked name with strong multi-article direct catalyst coverage, near 52w highs, and momentum_pct=82. Held position with constructive setup. Concentration risk caps adding, but conviction stays elite. Protect this winner.

2026-05-06 96 0

NVDA is the highest-thesis name in the batch with overwhelming catalyst convergence — ServiceNow partnership, Spectrum X, dominance vs TPU concerns. Held position is roughly flat (-2.4%) so no winner-protection rule applies, but no breakdown either. Specialists broadly constructive. Risk Agent flags concentration so do not add, but conviction stays high given thesis dominance.

2026-05-05 96 0

NVDA is the highest-thesis name in the batch with strong catalyst support and constructive technicals near 52wk highs. PnL essentially flat (-1.4%) so winner-protection rule doesn't dominate, but it's a quality core holding. Risk agent blocks adding more due to 8.3% concentration. Hold at strong conviction — thesis and catalyst justify maintaining size, but no add.

2026-05-04 96 -1

NVDA is the highest-thesis name in the batch with multiple thesis-confirming catalysts today (Feynman GPUs with co-packaged optics 5 years early, AI factory networking, revenue strength). Modest -1.4% PnL is noise — position is essentially flat at entry, not a loser. Near 52wk highs with Blackwell ramp driving estimate revisions. Hold at high conviction; do not add given concentration constraint, but this is a core anchor of the AI infrastructure thesis.

2026-05-03 97 -1

NVDA tops the watchlist on thesis with strong Win-Probability and breakout setup. PnL is roughly flat (-1.4%) so no winner-protection floor applies, but all four specialists are constructive and catalyst flow is unusually rich. Risk agent prevents adding given 8.3% weight, so hold at high conviction. This is a core position.

2026-05-02 98 -1

NVDA is the #1 thesis name with strong Win-Probability (74) and constructive catalysts (analyst upgrades, Blackwell ramp). PnL slightly negative (-1.4%) but immaterial - this is a core position with breakout setup. Risk agent flags concentration so we don't add, but conviction stays top-tier. Hold the franchise winner.

2026-05-01 99 0

NVDA sits at the apex of the thesis ranking with strong Win-Probability and four direct catalysts confirming central role in agentic AI buildout. PnL is essentially flat (-0.86%) so this is not a 'winner protection' case but a conviction case based on specialist convergence. Risk Agent blocks adds due to existing 8.3% weight, so action is hold not add. Core position.

2026-04-30 99 0

NVDA is the highest-conviction name in this batch and arguably the portfolio. Thesis at 97th percentile, catalyst at 90 with multiple direct product/strategic announcements in a single day, and a +18% gain since entry confirms the thesis is working. Win-prob 74 with breakout setup near 52wk high. Risk agent flags concentration but does not signal breakdown — hold at current weight, do not trim a working winner. No add due to position size.

2026-04-29 99 0

NVDA is the highest-thesis name in the batch with a constructive Win-Probability setup, near 52wk high breakout, and three direct T2 catalyst articles (CoreWeave, Palantir, Nokia). Up 20% since entry — this is a winner to protect. Risk agent explicitly flags concentration so we hold rather than add, but conviction stays at the top of the batch.

2026-04-28 99 +1

NVDA is the highest-thesis name in the batch with strong win-probability, +22% PnL, and overwhelming positive catalyst flow (new ATH, $5.2T cap, Blackwell ramp). All four specialists constructive. Risk agent only flags concentration, which precludes adding but does not weaken conviction. Core hold; protect the winner.

2026-04-27 98 +2

NVDA is the highest thesis-ranked name in the batch with strong Win-Probability and constructive catalyst. Up 17% from entry with Blackwell ramp ongoing and breakout setup near 52wk high. Concentration prevents adding, but this is a clear hold with top-tier conviction. Core position protected.

2026-04-26 96 0

NVDA is the highest-thesis name in the batch with strong win-probability and direct multi-article catalyst support today. Up 17% since entry and momentum intact. Concentration prevents adding, but conviction stays high to protect the core position.

2026-04-25 96 0

NVDA is the highest-thesis name in the batch with strong win-probability and supportive catalyst (Google $185B partnership). Up 17% since entry — protect the winner. Concentration prevents adding, but conviction stays high as the core AI infrastructure holding.

2026-04-24 96 0

NVDA remains the keystone AI infrastructure holding with the highest thesis percentile in the universe and a constructive Win-Probability score. Catalyst agent flags a flood of agentic AI deployment news (GPT-5.5, UAE mandates, enterprise rollouts) as directly thesis-supportive. Up 12.5% since entry — a winner to protect. Risk constraint prevents adding, but conviction stays high.

2026-04-24 96 +10

NVDA remains the thesis anchor with top-percentile thesis score, constructive win-probability, and a flood of agentic AI catalysts (GPT-5.5, UAE mandate, enterprise agents). Up 12.5% since entry — a winner, protect it. Risk agent explicitly flags concentration, so hold rather than add. Core position.

2026-04-22 86

NVDA is the anchor of the AI thesis with top thesis rank and solid 69 win-prob. Up 14% since entry with Blackwell/H200 catalysts intact. Already 8.3% and sector is concentrated, so no add, but this is a conviction hold. Three of four specialists constructive; risk agent concern is sizing, not thesis breakdown.

Supervisor: ALARM — the scoring pipeline has a failing check.