← All Scores / PANW
BULL cybersecurity Palo Alto Networks

PANW

98 +36 all-time
Last scored 2026-05-29

Platformized security with AI-driven SOC automation directly benefits from the threat escalation agentic AI creates.

Reading — Higher scores = stronger evidence of agentic AI tailwinds benefiting this company.
§ 01 — Score History
100
Ceiling
98
Latest
0
Floor
§ 02 — Reasoning

Score timeline

2026-05-29 98 +1

Textbook protect-the-winner. PANW up 53% since entry with breakout to 52wk high, direct AI-driven cyber catalyst (Darktrace article), and risk_quality 88. Only one specialist (thesis) is soft and that's a relative-ranking artifact as newer names rise. Hold with high conviction — exactly the fingerprint that produced our biggest wins.

2026-05-28 97 0

PANW is a held winner up 44% at 52wk highs with strong momentum, excellent risk quality, and direct AI-security catalyst tailwind. Thesis_pct dropped to 36 as the model rotates attention, but this is exactly the protect-winner setup our learnings flagged. Hold with high conviction.

2026-05-27 97 -1

PANW is a textbook protect-winner: +39.7% since entry, breaking out to 52-week highs with direct AI-native security catalyst headlines matching our winning pattern (PANW/MU/MRVL fingerprint). Thesis_pct has slipped to 36 as newer names rose, but win_prob, catalyst, risk_quality, and performance are all constructive. Hard rule #1 applies — do not reduce conviction below 75 without 3-of-4 breakdown signals. Hold with high conviction.

2026-05-26 98 0

PANW is a textbook protect-the-winner: up 45% since entry, breaking 52-week highs with strong momentum, AI-agent-security catalyst cluster intact, and excellent risk quality. Thesis_pct dropped to 36 as newer names rotated up the rankings, but that's exactly the dynamic our learnings warn against — do not rotate out of a +45% winner on a thesis-percentile drift. Hold and let it run.

2026-05-25 98 0

Held winner up 46% breaking to 52w high with strong momentum and a direct, ticker-relevant AI-security catalyst cluster — exactly the fingerprint of our biggest wins. Thesis percentile dropped but three of four specialists strongly constructive. Protect the winner.

2026-05-24 98 0

Big winner up 46% with momentum, catalyst, and a direct thesis-confirming product launch today. Protect-winners rule strongly applies — three of four specialists constructive, only thesis_pct rank softened as peers rose. Do not trim.

2026-05-23 98 +1

Held winner up 45.8% with strong momentum, near ATH, and direct catalyst alignment (agentic AI security, SASE, zero trust). Three of four specialists constructive; risk agent flags concentration but intrinsic quality is high. Protect winner — rule #1 floor at 75 easily cleared. This is the kind of locked-in winner we should not trim.

2026-05-22 97 -1

Textbook protect-the-winner. Up 45% since entry, near ATH with constructive consolidation, three of four specialists clearly constructive, and today's catalysts (ITWeb agentic-AI attack surface, AiThority governance gap) directly validate the AI-security thesis. Thesis_pct dropped to 36 only because newer names rose in the percentile ranking — not because the PANW thesis broke. Per principle 1, do not reduce conviction below 75 on a 20%+ winner without 3-of-4 breakdown signals; we have zero breakdown signals. Hold and let it run.

2026-05-21 98 +4

PANW is a clear winner up 40% from entry with strong momentum (83), high performance (88), supportive catalyst (Fortinet-NVIDIA validates AI security theme), and excellent intrinsic quality (95). Thesis percentile is soft but our learnings explicitly cite PANW as the case where we should not trim a locked-in winner on thesis softness alone. Protect the winner.

2026-05-20 94 -2

Held winner up 38.5%, near ATH with strong momentum and high intrinsic risk_quality. Per protect-winners rule, do not reduce conviction below 75 — only one specialist (thesis) is soft, while win_prob, catalyst, and risk all constructive. Run the winner.

2026-05-19 96 -1

Held winner up 35% with constructive momentum, strong risk quality, and concrete agentic-security catalyst cluster. Per protect-winners doctrine, do not trim a +20%+ position absent 3-of-4 deterioration signals — we have none. Thesis percentile soft but PANW's own pattern (91→97 from weak thesis start) argues to ride it.

2026-05-18 97 +1

Held winner up 37.8% with momentum at 99 and risk_quality at 88. Per the protect-winners rule and the PANW pattern we explicitly identified in learnings (score evolution stays elevated despite soft thesis_pct), we hold conviction high. Catalyst flow from agentic AI security stories directly drives platform demand. Three of four specialists constructive; the soft thesis percentile is a relative-ranking artifact, not a breakdown signal. Run the winner.

2026-05-17 96 -1

PANW up 36% since entry — protect-winner rule applies. Despite thesis_pct dipping to 36, three of four specialists (win_prob, catalyst, risk_quality) remain constructive and momentum is at the 98th percentile approaching a 52w-high breakout. Strong cybersecurity catalyst cluster directly validates platformization narrative. Hold conviction high.

2026-05-16 97 +4

Held position up 36% — Protect Winners rule applies. Three of four specialists strongly constructive (win_prob, catalyst, momentum/performance), only thesis percentile is soft as newer names rose. Approaching 52wk-high breakout with AI-security catalysts validating. Do not trim a winner with this technical setup.

2026-05-15 93 0

Held position up 34.6% — protect the winner. Three of four specialists constructive (win_prob, catalyst, risk all supportive), momentum maxed, approaching 52wk-high breakout. Thesis percentile dropped but no specialist signals breakdown. Core principle: don't trim winners on relative-ranking dips. Hold firmly.

2026-05-14 93 -1

PANW is a held winner up 32.58% with momentum 99, performance 83, approaching 52wk high breakout, and a directly supportive AI cybersecurity catalyst. PROTECT WINNERS rule applies — thesis_pct dip to 36 is not the breakdown signal required (need 3 of 4 specialists negative; only 1 is). High-quality holding, run it.

2026-05-13 94 -1

Held position up 22% — protect winner rule applies. Three of four specialists constructive (win_prob, catalyst, risk_quality 88, momentum 88). Thesis percentile dipped to 36 but with breakout setup 7% from 52wk high and platformization catalyst intact, no rotation justification. Hold.

2026-05-12 95 -1

Held winner up 20%+ with momentum 94 and performance 75, approaching breakout to 52wk high. Risk agent rates quality 88 and is comfortable at current 6% weight. Thesis_pct optically low (36) but that's relative ranking — the AI-agent security catalyst is directly supportive. Protect the winner.

2026-05-11 96 +5

Held winner up nearly 20%, momentum 94, approaching 52wk high breakout with exceptional cybersecurity-AI catalyst cluster today. Thesis percentile of 36 is the only soft signal but performance, momentum, and catalyst all converge. Protect this winner per core principle 1 — three of four specialists constructive. Hold.

2026-05-10 91 0

PANW is a held winner up 16% with strong momentum (90), high performance percentile (70), and direct catalyst confirmation from multiple AI-security articles today. Thesis percentile is soft at 36 but the position is working and risk quality is high. Protect the winner — hold at meaningful conviction.

2026-05-09 91 0

PANW is a held winner up 16% with very strong momentum (90) and multiple direct agentic-AI security catalysts validating the thesis today. Risk Agent rates this a quality holding at reasonable 6% weight. Thesis percentile dropped to 36 versus newer names but performance and catalyst remain firmly supportive — protect the winner. Hold at full weight.

2026-05-08 91 +6

Held position up 14.5% with strong momentum (88) and high risk quality. Thesis percentile has slipped to 36 as newer names rose, but specialist signals don't show deterioration — only one (thesis) is soft, and catalyst from agentic-AI security narrative is supportive. Protect the winner; hold at current weight, do not add given high multiple.

2026-05-07 85 +3

Held long with modest gain. Catalyst agent flags direct PANW publication on AI agent security plus surrounding cluster — strong near-term tailwind. Thesis percentile has slipped to 36 as competitors rank higher, but Win-Prob neutral and risk quality high. Hold at current size; not adding given valuation and the watchlist cybersec convergence not yet triggering.

2026-05-06 82 +3

Held position with modest gain and strong risk quality. Catalyst environment supportive (multiple agentic-AI security articles directly relevant). Thesis percentile soft and momentum tepid, so don't add, but no breakdown signals — hold the diversifying cybersecurity exposure.

2026-05-05 79 +2

Held position modestly profitable (+3.3%). Thesis agent has cooled (36 percentile) but risk quality is excellent (88) and catalyst flow strongly supportive of AI security. Win-prob neutral at 50. Not a winner to protect aggressively, but no breakdown signal — hold the 6% position as the portfolio's primary cybersecurity exposure.

2026-05-04 77 -9

Held at +1.33% — not a winner to protect, but not a loser to cut. Strongest catalyst in the batch (Portkey M&A + Five Eyes regulatory tailwind) and high risk quality justify holding. Thesis ranking has slipped (36) as other names rose, and win-prob is only neutral at 50, so no case to add. Hold the position at current size.

2026-05-03 86 0

Palo Alto is a held position with direct catalyst confirmation via the Portkey acquisition for autonomous AI agent security — exactly the thesis we want exposure to. Win-probability constructive at 62, risk quality high at 88, and only cybersecurity exposure providing diversification. Thesis percentile lagged at 36 reflects rotation noise, but specialists otherwise constructive. Hold the position.

2026-05-02 86 0

PANW is held with modest +1.3% PnL, positive momentum, and the strongest agentic AI security catalyst cluster in the batch. Risk agent rates it a quality holding at 6%. Thesis percentile is soft at 36 but win-probability and catalyst dominate; per principle 4, weight win-prob over thesis. Hold the position; don't add given elevated multiple.

2026-05-01 86 -5

Palo Alto is held with a small gain. Direct positive catalyst (AI platform acquisition) and strong risk quality (88) support continued hold. Thesis percentile is low (36) but Win-Probability is the better signal here at 62, and momentum is improving. Hold the position; not yet a conviction add.

2026-04-30 91 0

Held position up 11% with strongest risk-quality (88) and performance (64) in batch. Win-probability constructive at 62, multiple AI-security catalysts directly support thesis. Thesis percentile of 41 is the only soft spot but reflects relative ranking, not deterioration. Hold and let it work.

2026-04-29 91 +2

Held long up nearly 11% with risk agent rating it a quality holding at reasonable 6% weight. Win-prob 62 and catalyst 65 both supportive — multiple articles today directly confirm cybersecurity demand from agentic AI. Thesis_pct lower at 41 reflects relative ranking versus newer names, but momentum and earnings revision trend positive. Hold — protect the position, don't trim a working winner.

2026-04-28 89 -2

Held long up 12% with the strongest risk_quality (88) and momentum (67) in the batch. Win-prob 62 and improving sector flows support holding. Thesis percentile soft at 41 but performance and momentum confirm the position is working. Protect this winner — hold at meaningful weight.

2026-04-27 91 +8

Held position up 9% with a landmark category-creating acquisition (Koi agentic endpoint security) directly aligned to the fund thesis. Risk agent endorses the position quality. Thesis percentile lower at 41 reflects relative ranking compression, not deterioration. Specialist convergence is positive. Hold with strong conviction; this is the cleanest cyber expression in the book.

2026-04-26 83 +2

Held position up 9% — not yet in protect-the-winner zone but constructive. Risk agent rates it the highest-quality name in the batch at 88, providing cybersecurity diversification. Thesis has slipped to 41 and Win-Prob is only 52, so don't add, but the position is working and catalyst backdrop (agentic AI security) is supportive. Hold.

2026-04-25 81 +2

Held position up 9.4% — not yet in protect-winner zone (+20%) but constructive. Risk agent gives top marks (88) on quality and diversification value as our only cybersecurity holding. Thesis_pct at 41 is soft and valuation is stretched, but no specialist signals breakdown. Hold the position; do not add given valuation.

2026-04-24 79 0

Held position modestly in the green. Thesis percentile slipping to 41 but risk agent rates it top-quality cybersecurity exposure and catalyst flow is directly supportive. Win-prob only 52 reflects valuation. Hold at current 6% weight — not a trim without more deterioration.

2026-04-24 79 +17

Held position modestly profitable (+6%). Thesis percentile dropped to 41 as other names rose, but Risk agent rates it quality (88) and catalyst agent sees direct tailwinds from multiple agentic AI security articles today. Win-prob neutral at 52 on valuation concern. Not at winner-protection threshold (+20%), but no deterioration signals either. Hold at current size.

2026-04-22 62

Palo Alto is a held winner up ~10% — not enough to invoke the hard protect-winner rule (20%+), but enough to avoid trimming on soft signals. Thesis has weakened (41) and win-prob is only 52, but risk quality is high and position is recurring-revenue quality. Hold current size; do not add given extreme valuation. If CRWD gets added, reassess cyber concentration.

Supervisor: ALARM — the scoring pipeline has a failing check.